Western governments should support those efforts and build on three years of relative calm to bolster humanitarian aid. What should be done? Türkiye should aim to strengthen the 2020 ceasefire. Why does it matter? Since Türkiye ’s military presence is key to p reserving the Idlib ceasefire, a turnaround could allow ISIS and other jihadist groups to stage a comeback, creating new conflict and jeopardising the international response to, especially, the 6 February 2023 earthquakes that devastated parts of northern Syria and caused massive new displacement. Yet uncertainty regarding Türkiye ’s Syria policy may threaten the relative peace and hamper humanitarian relief.
What’s new? A three-year ceasefire in rebel-held Idlib has saved countless lives and allowed the main insurgent group, Hei’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), to redirect its efforts from fighting the regime to dismantling ISIS and other jihadist cells.
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